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- To proceed, use the arrow to your right .
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- Commodities are the
- Place to Be!
- The commodities markets are now in the throes of a major bull market.
Many, in fact,
- believe we are at the "sweet spot" of the economic cycle for
commodities, representing a classic opportunity for investors. Well
known money manager, Jim Rodgers, says of the commodities markets:
- I am convinced that the value and strength in the commodities markets
will continue for years to come-that we are, in fact, in the midst of a
long-term secular commodities bull market. The twentieth century saw
three long bulls (1906-1923, 1933-1953, 1968-1983), each lasting an
average of a little more than 17 years.
- Underpinning the commodities bull market is rising demand for
commodities from China, India and other developing countries. This rising demand is expected to
continue into the foreseeable future as a new middle class grows in
numbers and buying power.
- Futures and options investing involves substantial risk of loss and is
not suitable for everyone.
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- The most prudent way to participate in the commodities markets is with
professional Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs). Professionally managed
futures are eminently suitable for any qualified investor who
understands that a major difference exists between amateurs who ‘dabble’
and professionals who trade futures for a living. Isn’t it logical to
conclude that an unskilled
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Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) can take advantage of price
trends. They may buy futures positions in anticipation of a rising
market or sell futures positions if they anticipate a falling market.
For example, during periods of inflation, hard commodities such as gold,
silver, oil, grains and livestock tend to trend higher. During
deflationary times, futures provide an opportunity to profit by selling
into a declining market with the expectation of buying, or closing out
the position at a lower price. Our CTAs can also employ strategies involving options on
futures contracts that allow for profit potential in flat or neutral
markets. As one can see, unlike in stocks, CTAs have the potential to
prosper in rising, falling or sideways markets. Bear in mind that the
risk of loss exists no matter who is managing your money, and that the
potential exists in futures trading to lose more than your initial
investment.
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- One of Today’s Fastest Growing Investments!
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With practically a zero correlation with stocks, one of the most
attractive
features of managed futures is its ability to add profound
diversification to an overall investment portfolio. The ability of
futures to enhance the returns of traditional investments has been
documented in a study conducted by Goldman Sachs. Covering a 25-year
period, the study concluded that by "allocating only 10% of a
securities portfolio to commodities, investors can vastly improve their
performance." Goldman Sachs' conclusion concerning the value of
commodities was supported by another study published by the Chicago
Mercantile Exchange (CME), one of the world's preeminent futures
exchanges.
According to the CME study, "Portfolios with as much as 20%
of assets in managed futures yielded up to 50% more than a portfolio of
stocks and bonds alone."
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- The Chicago Board of Trade's booklet, “Managed Futures, Portfolio
Diversification Opportunities”, shows a portfolio with the greatest risk
an least returns comprised of 50% stocks, 50% bonds, and 0% managed
futures while a portfolio exhibiting the greatest returns and least
risk, comprised 37.5% stocks, 37.5% bonds, and 25% Managed Futures.
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The potential for higher performance returns using managed
futures compares well with other asset classes in terms of risk.
One means of comparing risk is to measure the magnitude of the
worst cumulative loss in value of an investment from any peak in
performance to the subsequent low. This worst-case, peak-to-valley
scenario is called a drawdown in the futures industry.
As this chart illustrates, since 1989 the worst drawdown managed
futures have experienced as an asset class is -15.7%. And when compared
to time periods when stocks have shown their worst drawdowns, managed
futures have shown positive returns.
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- Managed futures have long been employed in connection with diversifying
institutional portfolios. One such example is Harvard University. Jack
Meyer, the chief executive of that school’s endowment fund regularly
includes commodity and financial futures-related instruments in the
portfolio. In fact, this proponent of Modern Portfolio Theory has placed
himself on record by stating,
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- Technically speaking, futures are riskier than stocks because of the
greater leverage in futures and potential for unlimited risk.
Over-leveraging a futures trading account without utilizing prudent
money management could result in potentially substantial losses or
profits. In our opinion, that would constitute high stakes gambling, not
investing.
- In over 20 years of observing traders and seeing many millions of
dollars made and lost, we believe the unprofessional use of leverage and
the lack of prudent money management are the main culprits that can
render futures riskier than stocks. Place futures in the hands of an
accomplished CTA, and we strongly believe the risk in futures becomes no
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- Thomas Schneeweis, Professor of Finance at the University of
Massachusetts, in his 2002 academic study “Benefits of Managed Futures,”
destroys the myth of managed futures as investments that are riskier
than stocks. Schneeweis found that,“Managed futures are not any more
riskier than traditional equity investments. Investment in a single
commodity trading advisor is shown to have risks and returns, which are
similar to investment in a single equity. Moreover, a portfolio of
commodity trading advisors is also shown to have risks, and returns,
which are
- similar to traditional investments.”
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- ACE’s primary means of investing is writing options on the S&P 500.
The CTA states in their disclosure document: “We believe that
investments in stock indexes, but not individual stocks themselves,
continue to hold more promise for growth than other investments in the
near as well as the long term future.”
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- One of the best measures of a trader is how he or she performs under all
market conditions. In this respect, ACE’s trader, Yu-Dee Chang, has
clearly demonstrated his nimble trading skills!
- Examine the track record of ACE’s flagship “Stock Index Premium
Collection” program available in their government-filed disclosure
document. One can readily see how well the trading advisor performed in
virtually all market conditions, from severe bear markets in 2001 and
2002, through a booming bull market in 2003, across flat stagnant markets
in 2004 and 2005, and in a mildly bull market in 2006..
- By providing substantial returns through this period with less
volatility than the majority of blue chip stocks, ACE has clearly
demonstrated their performance is not luck. Bear in mind past
performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of
substantial loss exists in futures and options trading.
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- For the benefit of investors there are a number of services that rank
and analyze performance of money managers who report their trading
results. Among the most popular are), The Barclay Institutional
Report, and Autumn Gold. Slides
18 and 19 display performance rankings and/or analysis from these
services.
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THIS MATERIAL MENTIONS SERVICES WHICH RANK THE PERFORMANCE OF
COMMODITY TRADING ADVISORS. PLEASE NOTE THAT THE RANKINGS ONLY APPLY TO
THOSE CTAS WHO SUBMIT THEIR TRADING RESULTS. THE RANKINGS IN NO WAY
PURPORT TO BE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE ENTIRE UNIVERSE OF COMMODITY TRADING
ADVISORS. THE MATERIAL IN NO WAY IMPLIES THAT RESULTS ARE OFFICIALLY
SANCTIONED RESULTS OF THE COMMODITY INDUSTRY
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECCESARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
THE RISK OF SUBSTANTIAL LOSS EXISTS IN FUTURES TRADING.
A COMPLETE DISCUSSION OF FEES AND CHARGES ARE REPORTED IN THE
CTA’S DISCLOSURE DOCUMENT. SPECIFICALLY, ONE SHOULD REALIZE THAT AN
INTRODUCING BROKER MAY CHARGE A FRONT-END START UP FEE OF UP TO 6% OF
THE INITIAL CONTRIBUTION. PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS CHARGE IS NOT REFLECTED
IN THE PERFORMANCE OF THE COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR AND COULD HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT ABILITY TO ACHIEVE SIMLAR RESULTS
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- The Barclay Institutional Report is one of the most useful for analyzing
a CTA’s performance. This valuable report provides investors important
performance statistics that would normally be too difficult for them to
compute, or too time consuming to interpret. Of particular interest to
investors is the performance categories of:
- Annual returns
- Total Compounded Return Since Inception
- STD. Deviation of Monthly ROR (Worst Draw
Down)
- Total Winning vs. Losing Months
- Length of Recovery from Drawdown
- Worst and Best 12- and 24- Month Performance
- Periods
- Value of a Hypothetical $1000 Invested (VAMI vs. Barclay vs. S&P
500)
- Monthly Breakdown of Performance History
- For the most recent Barclay Institutional Report on ACE Investments Click
Here.
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- Managed Futures offer potential tax benefits versus stocks.
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We believe the most important question an investor should be
asking himself is “What do I have in my portfolio that is non-correlated
with stocks and can potentially capitalize in an up, down and
sideways-moving stock market?”
The research and facts overwhelmingly support the inclusion of
managed futures in an overall investment portfolio. For many informed
(and suitable) investors, there isn’t a better way to properly diversify
and help protect an overall stock portfolio than to incorporate
professionally managed futures!
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- It stands to reason that in any given month or year, even those
investments with the best performance records will be outperformed by
others. Savvy investors know this and realize the best is not the best
every month and in every year, but over an average of at least 5 years. At
least that’s how many professional investors and pension funds evaluate
the “best” investments. It’s consistency of performance over time
through prudent money management with the smallest draw downs and least
volatility that counts most…the more consistency with the smallest draw
downs and least volatility the better the investment. What good is it being in an investment
even if it possesses an excellent performance record if it was achieved
with large drawn downs: experienced investors know no matter how much
money they may earn, eventually, they probably would lose it all!
- Chances are, if we look at a six-year time frame, stretching from 2001
to the present, and which incorporates a period during which the stock
market ran the gamut from bullish to bearish to essentially stagnant,
most if not all of the investments in a portfolio will have
underperformed and/or lacked consistency of performance. Not so with ACE
Investment Strategists, LLC.
- ACE has performed over the most recent six-year time horizon, offering
up double-digit returns each year, with almost 90% of all months
profitable, and with less volatility than most blue chip stocks.
Additionally ACE, has beat the S&P over any two-year period and
doubling its performance over any three-year period. Isn’t any
investment with performance statistics like this worthy of being an
integral part of any suitable investors portfolio?
- Ace can be an attractive stand alone investment. When suitable
investors consider the non-correlation aspect of ACE’s program with
respect to stock market performance, the benefits of asset
diversification become apparent, and the case for investing with ACE
becomes that much more compelling.
- Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The
risk of unlimited loss exits in futures and writing futures options no
matter who is managing your money.
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- Firstly, a complete accounting of all the activity in your account,
including the account balance, can be seen 24 hours a day on Vision’s
web site.
- Secondly, you may call your managed futures specialist, who receives a
daily equity run detailing all your open positions, netting all profits
and losses, showing the exact daily balance in your account.
- Lastly, regardless of whether you call or not, a purchase and sale
statement will automatically be sent to your chosen mailing address on
every single trade. The Purchase and Sale Statement shows the date and
price entered, when you exit a trade, the date, price, net profit or
loss on the trade and also your account balance.
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- To open up the standard account forms, please click on the link below.
- Standard Account Forms (Adobe PDF, 689KB)
- For additional account forms please open up the following documents
- (Corporate, Partnership, Trust, etc…)
- Supplemental Forms (Adobe PDF, 284KB)
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